Chief Meteorologist Chris Franklin breaks down the possible steering if Invest 98 eventually moves into the Gulf
Approaching the Caribbean is of more interest, Invest 98. Models do strengthen the system in the Caribbean and are in descent agreement of it near the Yucatan Channel by Monday or Tuesday of next week. So we will remain quiet through the weekend. The models also seem to agree on the storm reaching the Gulf. Most consensus as of this writing is it would then track into the eastern Gulf and become more of a Florida threat. The GFS has an upper high east of Florida with a southerly flow pushing the storm northward. The western extent of the high would determine where along more the NE Gulf coast the storm would go. The Euro, a little different, has a deep East coast though would would keep the storm in the far eastern Gulf possibly impacting all of the Florida peninsula. Obviously 10 days out remains very inaccurate and the forecast will very likely change. Something to watch beyond this weekend. Lots of time to prepare if necessary.
Approaching the Caribbean is of more interest, Invest 98. Models do strengthen the system in the Caribbean and are in descent agreement of it near the Yucatan Channel by Monday or Tuesday of next week. So we will remain quiet through the weekend. The models also seem to agree on the storm reaching the Gulf. Most consensus as of this writing is it would then track into the eastern Gulf and become more of a Florida threat. The GFS has an upper high east of Florida with a southerly flow pushing the storm northward. The western extent of the high would determine where along more the NE Gulf coast the storm would go. The Euro, a little different, has a deep East coast though would would keep the storm in the far eastern Gulf possibly impacting all of the Florida peninsula. Obviously 10 days out remains very inaccurate and the forecast will very likely change. Something to watch beyond this weekend. Lots of time to prepare if necessary.
